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India’s current account deficit (CAD) narrows in Q4
Developments in India’s Balance of Payments during the Fourth Quarter (January-March) of 2018-19
Preliminary data on India’s balance of payments (BoP) for the fourth quarter (Q4), i.e., January-March 2018-19, are presented in Statements I (BPM6 format) and II (old format).
Key Features of India’s BoP in Q4 of 2018-19
  • India’s current account deficit (CAD) at US$ 4.6 billion (0.7 per cent of GDP) in Q4 of 2018-19 narrowed from US$ 13.0 billion (1.8 per cent of GDP) in Q4 of 2017-18 and US$ 17.7 billion (2.7 per cent of GDP) in the preceding quarter.
  • The contraction of the CAD on a year-on-year (y-o-y) basis was primarily on account of a lower trade deficit at US$ 35.2 billion as compared with US$ 41.6 billion a year ago.
  • Net services receipts increased by 5.8 per cent on a y-o-y basis mainly on the back of a rise in net earnings from telecommunications, computer and information services.
  • Private transfer receipts, mainly representing remittances by Indians employed overseas, at US$ 17.9 billion declined by 0.9 per cent from their level a year ago.
  • In the financial account, net foreign direct investment at US$ 6.4 billion in Q4 of 2018-19 remained at the same level as in Q4 of 2017-18.
  • Foreign portfolio investment recorded net inflow of US$ 9.4 billion in Q4 of 2018-19 – as compared with US$ 2.3 billion in Q4 a year ago – on account of net purchases in both debt and equity market.
  • Net inflow on account of external commercial borrowings to India increased to US$ 7.2 billion in Q4 of 2018-19 from US$ 1.0 billion a year ago.
  • In Q4 of 2018-19, there was an accretion of US$ 14.2 billion to the foreign exchange reserves (on BoP basis) as compared with US$ 13.2 billion in Q4 of 2017-18 (Table 1).
BoP during 2018-19
  • The CAD increased to 2.1 per cent of GDP in 2018-19 from 1.8 per cent in 2017-18 on the back of widening of the trade deficit.
  • India’s trade deficit increased to US$ 180.3 billion in 2018-19 from US$ 160.0 billion in 2017-18.
  • Net invisible receipts were higher in 2018-19 mainly due to increase in net services earnings and private transfer receipts.
  • Net FDI inflows at US$ 30.7 billion in 2018-19 were marginally higher than US$ 30.3 billion in 2017-18.
  • Portfolio investment recorded a net outflow of US$ 2.4 billion in 2018-19 as against an inflow of US$ 22.1 billion a year ago.
  • In 2018-19, there was a depletion of US$ 3.3 billion of the foreign exchange reserves (on a BoP basis).
  • (Courtest:rbi.org.in)

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Rajanish Kant शनिवार, 29 जून 2019
India's CAD in Q2, 2018 (2.9% of GDP vs 1.1% of GDP Y-o-Y): RBI
Developments in India’s Balance of Payments during the Second Quarter (July-September) of 2018-19
Preliminary data on India’s balance of payments (BoP) for the second quarter (Q2), i.e., July-September 2018-19, are presented in Statements I (BPM6 format)and II (old format).
Key Features of India’s BoP in Q2 of 2018-19
  • India’s current account deficit (CAD) at US$ 19.1 billion (2.9 per cent of GDP) in Q2 of 2018-19 increased from US$ 6.9 billion (1.1 per cent of GDP) in Q2 of 2017-18 and US$ 15.9 billion (2.4 per cent of GDP) in the preceding quarter.
  • The widening of the CAD on a year-on-year (y-o-y) basis was primarily on account of a higher trade deficit at US$ 50.0 billion as compared with US$ 32.5 billion a year ago.
  • Net services receipts increased by 10.2 per cent on a y-o-y basis mainly on the back of a rise in net earnings from software and financial services.
  • Private transfer receipts, mainly representing remittances by Indians employed overseas, amounted to US$ 20.9 billion, increasing by 19.8 per cent from their level a year ago.
  • In the financial account, net foreign direct investment at US$ 7.9 billion in Q2 of 2018-19 moderated from US$ 12.4 billion in Q2 of 2017-18.
  • Portfolio investment recorded net outflow of US$ 1.6 billion in Q2 of 2018-19 – as compared with an inflow of US$ 2.1 billion in Q2 last year – on account of net sales in both the debt and equity markets.
  • Net receipts on account of non-resident deposits increased to US$ 3.3 billion in Q2 of 2018-19 from US$ 0.7 billion a year ago.
  • In Q2 of 2018-19, there was a depletion of US$ 1.9 billion of the foreign exchange reserves (on BoP basis) as against an accretion of US$ 9.5 billion in Q2 of 2017-18 (Table 1).
BoP during April-September 2018 (H1 of 2018-19)
  • The CAD increased to 2.7 per cent of GDP in H1 of 2018-19 from 1.8 per cent in H1 of 2017-18 on the back of widening of the trade deficit.
  • India’s trade deficit increased to US$ 95.8 billion in H1 of 2018-19 from US$ 74.4 billion in H1 of 2017-18.
  • Net invisible receipts were higher in H1 of 2018-19 mainly due to increase in net services earnings and private transfer receipts.
  • Net FDI inflows in H1 of 2018-19 moderated to US$ 17.7 billion from US$ 19.6 billion in H1 of 2017-18.
  • Portfolio investment recorded a net outflow of US$ 9.8 billion in H1 of 2018-19 as against an inflow of US$ 14.5 billion a year ago.
  • In H1 of 2018-19, there was a depletion of US$ 13.2 billion of the foreign exchange reserves (on a BoP basis).
Table 1: Major Items of India's Balance of Payments
(US$ Billion)
 July-September 2018 PJuly-September 2017April-September 2018-19PApril-September 2017-18
 CreditDebitNetCreditDebitNetCreditDebitNetCreditDebitNet
A. Current Account160.0179.1-19.1145.5152.4-6.9315.7350.7-35.0285.4307.3-21.9
1. Goods83.4133.4-50.076.1108.5-32.5166.8262.6-95.8149.2223.6-74.4
    Of which:            
        POL12.135.2-23.19.023.7-14.623.569.9-46.516.546.5-30.0
2. Services50.129.820.247.429.018.498.359.338.993.356.636.7
3. Primary Income5.614.3-8.74.513.0-8.611.025.5-14.69.223.6-14.4
4. Secondary Income20.91.519.417.51.815.739.73.336.433.73.530.2
B. Capital Account and Financial Account131.1112.918.2147.1139.77.4273.7238.834.9302.8279.922.9
  Of which:            
    Change in Reserves (Increase (-)/Decrease (+))1.90.01.90.09.5-9.513.20.013.20.020.9-20.9
C. Errors & Omissions (-) (A+B)0.9 0.9 0.4-0.40.1 0.1 1.0-1.0
P: Preliminary
Note: Total of subcomponents may not tally with aggregate due to rounding off.

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Rajanish Kant शुक्रवार, 7 दिसंबर 2018
India’s current account deficit stood at US$ 15.8 billion (2.4 per cent of GDP) in Q1 of 2018-19:RBI
Developments in India’s Balance of Payments during the First Quarter (April-June) of 2018-19
Preliminary data on India’s balance of payments (BoP) for the first quarter (Q1), i.e., April-June 2018-19, are presented in Statements I (BPM6 format) and II (old format).
Key Features of India’s BoP in Q1 of 2018-19
  • India’s current account deficit (CAD) stood at US$ 15.8 billion (2.4 per cent of GDP) in Q1 of 2018-19 as compared with US$ 15.0 billion (2.5 per cent of GDP) in Q1 of 2017-18.
  • The widening of the CAD on a year-on-year (y-o-y) basis was primarily on account of a higher trade deficit at US$ 45.7 billion as compared with US$ 41.9 billion a year ago.
  • Net services receipts increased by 2.1 per cent on a y-o-y basis mainly on the back of a rise in net earnings from software and financial services.
  • Private transfer receipts, mainly representing remittances by Indians employed overseas, amounted to US$ 18.8 billion, increasing by 16.9 per cent from their level a year ago.
  • In the financial account, net foreign direct investment at US$ 9.7 billion in Q1 of 2018-19 was higher than US$ 7.1 billion in Q1 of 2017-18.
  • Portfolio investment recorded net outflow of US$ 8.1 billion in Q1 of 2018-19 – as compared with an inflow of US$ 12.5 billion in Q1 last year – on account of net sales in both the debt and equity markets.
  • Net receipts on account of non-resident deposits amounted to US$ 3.5 billion in Q1 of 2018-19 as compared with US$ 1.2 billion a year ago.
  • In Q1 of 2018-19, there was a depletion of US$ 11.3 billion of the foreign exchange reserves (on BoP basis) as against an accretion of US$ 11.4 billion in Q1 of 2017-18 (Table 1).
Table 1: Major Items of India's Balance of Payments
(US$ Billion)
 April-June 2018 PApril-June 2017 PR
CreditDebitNetCreditDebitNet
A. Current Account155.7171.5-15.8139.9154.9-15.0
1. Goods83.4129.1-45.773.1115.1-41.9
   Of which:      
           POL11.934.7 -22.8 7.5 22.8 -15.4 
2. Services48.229.518.745.927.618.3
3. Primary Income5.311.1-5.84.710.6-5.8
4. Secondary Income18.81.717.116.11.614.5
B. Capital Account and Financial Account142.4125.916.6155.7140.215.5
  Of which:      
       Change in Reserves (Increase (-)/Decrease (+))11.30.011.30.011.4-11.4
C. Errors & Omissions (-) (A+B) 0.8-0.8 0.6-0.6
P: Preliminary; PR: Partially Revised
Note: Total of subcomponents may not tally with the aggregate due to rounding off.
(Source: rbi.org.in)

Rajanish Kant शुक्रवार, 7 सितंबर 2018